Minnesota Twins vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are 1-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 4-0 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Kenta Maeda. Sandy Alcantara has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kenta Maeda has a 46% chance of a QS. If Sandy Alcantara has a quality start the Marlins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 62%. In Kenta Maeda quality starts the Twins win 62%. He has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Carlos Correa who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 57% chance of winning.