Colorado Rockies vsMiami Marlins Prediction
The Miami Marlins are 13-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 5-23 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins' starter Trevor Rogers is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Chi Chi Gonzalez. Trevor Rogers has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chi Chi Gonzalez has a 36% chance of a QS. If Trevor Rogers has a quality start the Marlins has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 62%. In Chi Chi Gonzalez quality starts the Rockies win 54%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Corey Dickerson who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Trevor Story who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 56% chance of winning.