Atlanta Braves vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are 9-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 7-10 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins' starter Trevor Rogers is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Charlie Morton. Trevor Rogers has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 49% chance of a QS. If Trevor Rogers has a quality start the Marlins has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 58%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Braves win 66%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jazz Chisholm who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Matt Olson who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 59% chance of winning.