Cincinnati Reds vsLos Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler is forecasted to have a better game than Reds' starter Luis Cessa. Walker Buehler has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Cessa has a 42% chance of a QS. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 65%. In Luis Cessa quality starts the Reds win 58%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Joey Votto who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 51% chance of winning.