Detroit Tigers vsKansas City Royals Prediction
The Kansas City Royals are 12-14 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 10-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals' starter Kris Bubic is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Michael Fulmer. Kris Bubic has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Fulmer has a 28% chance of a QS. If Kris Bubic has a quality start the Royals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 56%. In Michael Fulmer quality starts the Tigers win 76%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 76% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Franco who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Jake Rogers who averaged 4.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 47% chance of winning.