Detroit Tigers vs

Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Kansas City Royals are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals' starter Zack Greinke is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers' starter Casey Mize. Zack Greinke has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Casey Mize has a 38% chance of a QS. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Royals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 60%. In Casey Mize quality starts the Tigers win 69%. He has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 5.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Spencer Torkelson who averaged 4.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 45% chance of winning.