Kansas City Royals vsHouston Astros Prediction
The Houston Astros are 21-11 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 13-22 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros' starter Jake Odorizzi is forecasted to have a better game than Royals' starter Jon Heasley. Jake Odorizzi has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jon Heasley has a 26% chance of a QS. If Jake Odorizzi has a quality start the Astros has a 89% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 83%. In Jon Heasley quality starts the Royals win 52%. He has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 3.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 85% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Andrew Benintendi who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 31% chance of winning.