Detroit Tigers vs

Houston Astros Prediction

The Houston Astros are 2-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 1-3 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Matt Manning. Framber Valdez has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Manning has a 34% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 75%. In Matt Manning quality starts the Tigers win 47%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 47% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 1.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 44% chance of winning.