Kansas City Royals vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
The Detroit Tigers are 41-36 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 32-44 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers' starter Tarik Skubal is forecasted to have a better game than Royals' starter Jon Heasley. Tarik Skubal has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jon Heasley has a 24% chance of a QS. If Tarik Skubal has a quality start the Tigers has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 68%. In Jon Heasley quality starts the Royals win 64%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Ronny Rodriguez who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Salvador Perez who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 55% chance of winning.