Boston Red Sox vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
Red Sox starter Chris Sale is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Tyler Alexander. Chris Sale has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Alexander has a 49% chance of a QS. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Red Sox has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 57%. In Tyler Alexander quality starts the Tigers win 62%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rob Refsnyder who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 71% chance of winning.