Chicago Cubs vs

Colorado Rockies Prediction

The Colorado Rockies are 2-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 1-1 on the road this season. The Rockies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rockies' starter Kyle Freeland is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs' starter Justin Steele. Kyle Freeland has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Steele has a 31% chance of a QS. If Kyle Freeland has a quality start the Rockies has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 64%. In Justin Steele quality starts the Cubs win 72%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is C.J. Cron who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Frank Schwindel who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 54% chance of winning.