Chicago Cubs vs

Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds are 3-1 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 0-1 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Luis Cessa has a 47% chance of a QS and Hayden Wesneski a 48% chance. If Luis Cessa has a quality start the Reds has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 50%. If Hayden Wesneski has a quality start the Cubs has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8 and he has a 62% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning.