Pittsburgh Pirates vs

Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are 2-2 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-2 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Roansy Contreras. Nick Pivetta has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Roansy Contreras has a 44% chance of a QS. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Red Sox has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 62%. In Roansy Contreras quality starts the Pirates win 67%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Justin Turner who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 60% chance of winning.