Tampa Bay Rays vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles are 9-10 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 10-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Tyler Wells has a 48% chance of a QS and Jalen Beeks a 52% chance. If Tyler Wells has a quality start the Orioles has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 53%. If Jalen Beeks has a quality start the Rays has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Austin Hays who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 64% chance of winning.