Boston Red Sox vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are 9-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 3-10 at home. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox' starter Nick Pivetta is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles' starter Dean Kremer. Nick Pivetta has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dean Kremer has a 25% chance of a QS. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Red Sox has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 65%. In Dean Kremer quality starts the Orioles win 60%. He has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Trey Mancini who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 47% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 55% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 75% chance of winning.