Miami Marlins vsAtlanta Braves Prediction
The Atlanta Braves are 18-8 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 13-13 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves' starter Ian Anderson is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Pablo Lopez. Ian Anderson has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Pablo Lopez has a 29% chance of a QS. If Ian Anderson has a quality start the Braves has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 71%. In Pablo Lopez quality starts the Marlins win 62%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Curtis Granderson who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 40% chance of winning.