Los Angeles Dodgers vsArizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 5-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 3-6 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Merrill Kelly has a 47% chance of a QS and Walker Buehler a 49% chance. If Merrill Kelly has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 48%. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Daulton Varsho who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 70% chance of winning.