2022 Hero World Challenge Best Bets
BetQL’s PGA Model identified the following best bets
Dan Karpuc - Nov 29, 2022, 7:46pm EST
Only 20 golfers will be in the field for this week’s Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas. Tiger Woods won’t play, but will host this event at the par-72, 7,414-yard Ernie Els-designed Albany Golf Club course. Five par-5s and five par-3s make up a balanced layout and four of the last five winners of the event have finished at exactly 18-under. Scroll down to see three valuable bets from our model for this week’s epic event!
Our predictive model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous PGA seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).
Only 20 golfers will be in the field for this week’s Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas. Tiger Woods won’t play, but will host this event at the par-72, 7,414-yard Ernie Els-designed Albany Golf Club course. Five par-5s and five par-3s make up a balanced layout and four of the last five winners of the event have finished at exactly 18-under. Scroll down to see three valuable bets from our model for this week’s epic event!
Our predictive model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous PGA seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).
Xander Schauffele To Win (+2000, DraftKings)
BetQL Projection: +298 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
In Schauffele’s last seven events, he earned five Top 10 finishes, including two wins, so his game is at a stellar place right now. Our model is giving him +298 odds (a 25.13% implied probability) to win this event, a massive difference from DraftKings’ +2000 odds (4.76% implied probability). Schauffele has seven career PGA Tour victories under his belt and will not be out of place among some of the best golfers in the world. He’s the best bet to earn the cool $1 million first-place prize!
Justin Thomas Top 5 Finish (+130, BetMGM)
BetQL Projection: -196 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Thomas finished T5 in both of his last two starts here at Albany and our model is giving him -196 odds (66.22% implied probability) to finish in the Top 5. At BetMGM, you can grab +130 odds (43.48% implied probability) on this outcome. Due to the well-rounded nature of Thomas’ game, he’s always a threat to contend and he should do just that in the limited 20-man field this week. Get plus-money on him while you still can.
Scottie Scheffler Top 10 Finish (-280, FanDuel)
BetQL Projection: -1433 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
As the runner-up at this event last year, the reigning PGA Player of the Year is in a great spot to finish in the top half of this field. As you can see above, our model is listing him with -1433 odds (93.48% implied probability) compared to the -280 odds (73.68% implied probability) you can get at FanDuel. He’s listed at -600 to -700 at most other books right now, so take advantage of this price!