2023 3M Open Picks, Predictions & Sleepers

How to Bet The 2023 3M Open

TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, MN, will host the 2023 3M Open as 156 golfers battle it out for their share of the $7.8M purse. The winner will take home $1.404 million. Below, you’ll see our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event.

Last week, we cashed Sungjae Im Top 40 finish for -110 at the Open Championship. Let's see if we can do the same this week and grab more winners.

Below are betting insights from BetMGM for3M Open:

3M Open – Tournament Winner

 Line Movement (opening, current)

• Sepp Straka +2800, +2200
• Ludvig Aberg +3500, +2800
• Justin Thomas +2200, +2500
• Sungjae Im +1800, +1600

 Highest Ticket%

• Sepp Straka 8.3%
• Cameron Young 7.4%
• Ludvig Aberg 5.3%

 Highest Handle%

• Sepp Straka 13.2%
• Cameron Young 9.3%
• Emiliano Grillo 8.3%

 Biggest Liabilities

• Sepp Straka
• Ludvig Aberg
• Cameron Young

2023 3M Open Model Picks, Predictions & Sleepers 

The BetQL PGA model nailed Sungjae Im (-110) Top 40 in last week's Open Championship, and it was backing Rory McIlroy (+900) when he won Scottish Open two weeks ago, so you'll definitely want to check out the model's value picks for the 3M Open below!

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below come from BetQL’s PGA Model. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

After running our PGA Model, these particular finishing position bets are standing out with the most value on the board. 

Top Finishing Position Model Picks For The 3M Open

Tony Finau To Win (+1200, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL’s PGA Model is giving Finau +353 odds to win this event, thus making his +1200 odds at DraftKings a solid value. He's having a fantastic season so far and is ranked No. 10 in the FedExCup standings right now. Finau is ranked 19th in the world right now via OWGR (Official World Golf Ranking). He's played in 20 events so far this season and has managed to notch two wins already, with no runner-up finishes. He has four Top 10 finishes and 11 Top 25 finishes in his 20 events. In his last event, he failed to make the cut at the Open Championship with a score of 6-over par.

Taylor Montgomery Top 20 Finish (+330, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Montgomery +102 odds to finish in the top 20 and you can get valuable +330 odds over at DraftKings. The American has had an up-and-down season so far this year. He's currently sitting at 47th in the FedExCup standings and is ranked 69th in the world right now. He's competed in 25 events this season, but has failed to notch a win or a runner-up finish. However, he has placed in the top 10 four times and has finished in the Top 25 11 times. In his last event at the Genesis Scottish Open, he failed to make the cut with a score of 2-over par.

Justin Thomas Top 5 Finish (+500, FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Thomas +195 odds to finish in the Top 5, wildly different odds than the +500 odds you can find at FanDuel. He's having his worst season by far, sitting at 75th in the FedExCup rankings, and is now 24th on the OWGR. He hasn't been able to win an event this season and has no runner-up finishes, but he owns three Top 10 placements. Out of his 18 events played, he has nine Top 25 finishes as well. In his last event at the Open Championship, he failed to make the cut with a score of 11-over par.

Billy Horschel Top-40 Finish (+200, FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Im -104 odds to finish in the Top 40 and you can capitalize on this +200 price. The American golfer is currently ranked 119th in the FedExCup standings, and 47th in the world via OWGR. Horschel has played in 20 events this year and has not secured a win or a runner-up finish yet. He does have two Top 10 finishes and three Top 25 finishes, however. In his last event at the Open Championship, he failed to make the cut with a score of 6-over par.

Hideki Matsuyama Top-10 Finish (+230, FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Matsuyama +120 odds to finish in the Top 10, which makes his +230 odds at FanDuel a bargain. The Japanese star has had a down season, sitting at 54th in the FedExCup standings and 29th in the world. He's competed in 21 events this season and has failed to notch a win or runner-up finish. He has also placed in the Top 10 two times and has finished in the Top 25 10 times. In his last event at the Open Championship, he came in tied for 13th with a score of 3-under par.