New England Patriots vsBuffalo Bills Prediction
Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 49% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 66% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 82% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Damien Harris is averaging 63 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Josh Allen is averaging 254 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.