Fresno State vsBoise State Prediction
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Fresno State winning 51% of simulations, and Boise State 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Fresno State commits fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Boise State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jake Haener is averaging 281 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. George Holani is averaging 80 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5