Top 5 Trends For Tuesday’s Nuggets-Warriors Matchup

What you need to know before betting this Western Conference game

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The Golden State Warriors (27-6) host the Denver Nuggets (16-16) on Tuesday night and there are a number of trends you should be aware of. Here are the five best:

5. BetQL has gone 32-21 ATS (60.4%, +$823 on $100 bets) when Nuggets point guard Monte Morris has started. The fifth-year veteran has started all 32 games this season and has averaged 12.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 30.0 minutes per contest. 

4. The Warriors have gone 22-11 ATS (66.7%) this season, the 2nd-best mark in the NBA. Oddsmakers have consistently undervalued Stephen Curry and company this season and Golden State has outscored their opponents by an NBA-best 10.4 points per game. 

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3. BetQL has gone 31-15 (67.4%, +$867 on $100 bets) across all bets when Otto Porter Jr. has started. The 28-year-old forward never reached his potential, but has carved out an important role for Golden State. He will presumably draw the start like he did last game, when he scored 19 points and pulled down six rebounds in 29 minutes against the Suns. With Draymond Green out due to COVID-19 protocols, he should be a significant part of his team’s offensive production in this matchup.

2. The under has gone 22-10-1 (68.8%) in Warriors games this season, the highest rate in the NBA. Oddsmakers have also undervalued how dominant Golden State is defensively. The Warriors rank 1st in the NBA with a 101.8 Defensive Rating, per NBA.com, and sportsbooks have inflated totals in Warriors games all season long.

1. BetQL has gone 7-2 (77.8%, +$437 on $100 bets) on O/U bets when Warriors guard Gary Payton II has started. The son of Hall of Famer Gary Payton has drawn back-to-back starts and put up 22 points on 9-16 shooting in a 113-104 win over the Grizzlies before posting 14 points and eight rebounds in a 116-117 victory over the Suns last time out. 

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