Week 4 XFL Public Betting Report
Public bettors have hammered these bets in particular leading up to kickoff
- 72% of public tickets have been wagered on the Defenders (-2.5), who are taking on the Vipers in Tampa Bay on Sunday night.
- 91% of public tickets have been wagered on the Guardians' (+265) moneyline against the Wildcats in New York. Last week, it was the Wildcats who won as +275 underdogs at home against the Defenders.
- An incredible 98% of public bets have supported the OVER in the Roughnecks-Renegades game (50.5 points). All three of Houston's games have gone over the total, and the public has been hammering the over all week long.
- The four most popular bets in Week 3 ended up going 3-1. READ OUR WEEK 3 REVIEW
- Access XFL public betting data for free on BetQL! CLICK HERE
SPREAD: Defenders (-2.5) at Vipers
Sunday, 7:00pm EST
As of Friday night, a whopping 72% of public tickets have been wagered on D.C., despite the fact that they’re coming off of an embarrassing 39-9 defeat to the previously-winless Wildcats in L.A. last week. That speaks volumes in regards to the public perception of the Vipers, who are the only remaining winless team. READ OUR FULL DEFENDERS-VIPERS PREVIEW and READ WHY THE DEFENDERS ARE A FANTASTIC MONEYLINE BET this week. The XFL has proven to be a quarterback-driven league and Tampa Bay’s three options (Taylor Cornelius, Aaron Murray, Quinton Flowers) have combined for one touchdown pass and six interceptions through three games. Although Cardale Jones had a terrible outing for the Defenders last week (and got benched), he had two solid weeks to start the year, as did D.C.’s defense, who is in a perfect get-right spot in this matchup.
MONEYLINE: Guardians (+265) vs. Wildcats
Saturday, 2:00pm EST
So far, it looks like there may be a legitimate home field advantage in the XFL. After all, home teams have gone 8-4 straight-up heading into Week 4. A wild 91% of public tickets have been wagered on the Guardians in this matchup, despite the fact that the Wildcats pulled off the improbable blowout against the Defenders last week. Quarterback Matt McGloin, who has struggled through the first three weeks, has been ruled out with an injury, thrusting Marquis Williams and Luis Perez up the depth chart. Both are expected to see time and whoever has the hot hand will likely remain in the game. Wideout Tanner Gentry, the team’s third-round pick in the XFL Draft, will debut this week and should make an immediate impact for New York. Meanwhile, Josh Johnson and the Wildcats will look to build off of their Week 3 success on the road as the clear favorites. Betting on a home underdog with upside paid off for Wildcats (+275) bettors last week and 57% of public bettors were on them in that situation. It seems like that same logic will be applied this week.
TOTAL: Roughnecks at Renegades: OVER 50.5
Sunday, 4:00pm EST
All three of Houston’s games have gone over the total due to their style of play, explosive offense led by XFL MVP frontrunner P.J. Walker and lack of a defense that can consistently create stops. To add fuel to the fire, a whopping 98% of public bettors have hammered the over as of Friday night. READ OUR ROUGHNECKS-RENEGADES PREVIEW FOR MORE INSIGHT. For context, no other over/under bet had attracted more than 59% of public bets at that point. While the small sample size certainly might cause some hesitation, there’s no denying that this is one of the best bets of the week. READ ABOUT ALL OF THIS WEEK’S BEST BETS!