How Sharps are Betting Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals
Can the Blues grab a 3rd win in Boston to claim the Cup?
St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins
Money Line: STL +155, BOS -185
Puck Line: STL +1.5 (-190), BOS -1.5 (+160)
Total: 5.5 Goals
Time: 8:00 ET
TV: NBC
Series Tied 3-3
Money Line
Public: 51% of total tickets on Blues
Sharp: 85% of total money on Bruins
The Bruins spoiled the party in Game 6 by blowing out the Blues by a score of 5-1, easily cashing their -105 money line odds. Sharp bettors have backed Boston on the money line consistently throughout this series with 5 of the 6 games thus far having over 55% of total money on Boston on the money line. Tonight will be no different for Game 7.
The public is fairly split with the Blues having a slight edge in terms of total tickets at 51%. The total money percentage is a completely different story with 85% of total money on Boston as -185 favorites on their home ice. It should be noted that St. Louis have played well away from home in this series and have already snagged 2 wins in Boston, which makes taking the Blues at +155 a nice value position to take.
Puck Line
Public: 60% of total tickets on Bruins
Sharp: 91% of total money on Bruins
The puck line is much of the same story as the money line for Game 7 with the Bruins seeing a massive 91% of total money on them to cover the -1.5 spread at +160 odds. The Bruins have been dominate in their wins in this series, winning Game 1 by two goals, Game 3 by five goals, and Game 6 by four goals. As I previously mentioned, Boston has been far from a lock on home ice in this series and value could open up if this line moves further in favor of the Bruins.
A trend that the Blues do have going for them is that they are a very good team at bouncing back from blowout losses having covered the spread in 11 of 12 games this season following a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals.
Total
Public: 59% of total tickets on Under
Sharp: 80% of total money on Over
The over has seen significant attention from sharp bettors throughout this entire series. The total went over the closing line in 4 of 6 games thus far and we are seeing 80% of total money backing the over for Game 7. Not so fast my friends! A Game 7 in the Stanley Cup finals has not seen the total go over since 1950 with 12 unders and 1 push in that time frame. That isn’t to say that tonight will follow that trend, but it should tell us something about how both teams will look to play in a one game finale with the Stanley Cup on the line.
The over 5.5 goals is still firmly in the plus-money range at +125 so there is virtually no scenario that I can see the total slipping to O6, but the +125 line could bump into the +130 range if we continue to see more money flow in on the over as puck drop approaches.
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