Week 10 NFL Public Betting Report
How the public and the pros are approaching certain games on the Week 10 NFL slate
With just hours to go until kickoff, you might find yourself scrambling for a betting edge. As one of the many tools here on BetQL, our Public Betting Dashboard provides important insights about how casual and expert bettors are approaching the slate. Here are some of the most significant findings for Week 10 action:
Experts Love The Green Bay Moneyline
The Packers’ -220 moneyline has been backed by just 41 percent of public bets, but 89 percent of the total money, which is an indication that pro bettors are hammering Green Bay. After their disappointing loss to the Chargers last week, Aaron Rodgers and company will look to do work at Lambeau Field, where they are 4-1 on the year.
Sharp Money Is On Kansas City
Since Patrick Mahomes (knee) was ruled in, the line moved in Kansas City’s favor, as expected. As six-point road favorites over the Titans, the Chiefs have been backed by a slate-high 68 percent of public bets and a whopping 93 percent of the money (25 percent sharp bet). Further, 49 percent of the public bets have been wagered on the over (49.5 total), while 77 percent of the money has. The effect that Mahomes’ availability has had on this game has been significant from a betting perspective.
Bettor Beware On The Bills
The Bills are three-point dogs on the road and have been backed by 60 percent of public bets, but only 54 percent of the money. That’s enough of a discrepancy to be concerned. Under the 41 point total has also been wagered on with 51 percent of public bets and 78 percent of the money. After Devin Singletary broke out last week, expect the Bills to employ a run-heavy offensive game plan centered around their rookie running back, while the Browns debut of Kareem Hunt (suspension) could lead to a ground-focused attack from Cleveland in a must-win game.
Pros Aren’t Buying Into The Steelers
The Rams are -210 road favorites against the Steelers. Pittsburgh has received 59 percent of public bets while Los Angeles has attracted 84 percent of the money. Coming off of a bye week, the Rams are rested and will square off against a banged-up Pittsburgh squad that’s riding a three-game winning streak.
Da Bears And The Under Are Seeing Some Sharp Love
While the road underdog Lions (+130) have seen 66 percent of the public bets in this matchup, the Bears have seen 71 percent of the money. Similarly, 52 percent of public bets have been wagered under the 41 point total, while 86 percent of the money has. The health of Matthew Stafford (hip/back) will likely be the determining factor in this contest.
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