Top 3 Keys To NFC Championship Betting Success: 49ers

In order to win outright and cover the spread, San Francisco has to do these three things

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Packers at 49ers

Sunday 1/19/20, 6:40pm EST

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  • The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers will meet in the NFC Championship Game

  • The Niners opened as 7-point home favorites and the over/under opened at 45 points. 

  • The 49ers enter this game with the following records: 14-3 overall, 9-7-1 against the spread, 7-2 (3-5-1 ATS) at home and 10-2 (4-7 ATS) as a favorite.

  • San Francisco hosted Green Bay back on November 24th and absolutely throttled them (37-8). 

  • The Niners had a first-round bye and easily took care of the Minnesota Vikings in the Divisional Round (27-10).

  • Continue reading to find out the top three things that the 49ers must do in order to beat the Packers and cover the spread en route to a Super Bowl appearance.

3. Run, Run Run

San Francisco made something extremely clear in their win over the Vikings last week: they’re a run-first offense and will try to pound the ball repeatedly if they are clicking. Further, they’re going to ride the hot hand. Last week, Tevin Coleman was that hot hand, and he went off for 105 rushing yards on 22 carries with two scores. Raheem Mostert, who came into the game as the presumed first-stringer, took 12 carries for 58 yards and Matt Brieda had eight carries for 17 yards. That three-headed monster was a nightmare for Minnesota’s defense and will most likely see another heavy workload in this contest. Since all three have a proven ability to make an impact in the running and passing attacks, it makes it exceptionally difficult for opposing teams to gameplan or know what to expect. In nearly every game this season, at least one of the three backs has had a strong performance. 

2. Consistently Double-Team Davante Adams 

Last week, Adams caught eight passes for 160 yards and two touchdowns in Green Bay’s victory over the Seahawks. Only one of his teammates (Jimmy Graham) had more than one reception. Think about that for a second. In their regular-season blowout loss, Adams caught seven passes for 43 yards, which is well below his standard output. Expect a lot of Richard Sherman coverage and a lot of help over the top and over the middle of the field against Adams due to the lack of other options Rodgers has in the passing game. If they can shut him down, they'll have a strong chance of shutting down the entire Green Bay passing offense.

1. Make Aaron Rodgers Uncomfortable

Dee Ford, Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner, Kwon Alexander, Fred Warner and Richard Sherman make up arguably the most fearsome defense left in the playoffs and have the dynamic potential to create pressure on four-man rushes as well as turnovers in the secondary. Now back at full strength, they will look to keep up the momentum wreak havoc on Rodgers (once again). Rodgers has consistently delivered strong playoff performances, but San Francisco’s defense will need to make life very tough for him to ensure a victory. That means pressuring him, hitting him in the backfield and containing him in the pocket, which are three tasks that this defense has the capability of achieving. 

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