Titans-Seahawks Total Skyrockets Heading Into Week 2

The total has increased after Week 1. Is this an overreaction by sportsbooks, or a warranted adjustment?

Untitled Image
  • The total for Titans-Seahawks has moved dramatically after Week 1, going from 49.5 to 54.

  • This is likely because of how terrible the Titans defense performed against the Cardinals, losing 38-13 while allowing Kyler Murray to score five TDs himself.

  • The BetQL NFL Model has the total for this game lined at 52.5, which means that this huge line movement is an overreaction by sportsbooks, sharp bettors and public bettors.

Defensive Woes In Tennessee

For the Tennessee Titans, Week 1 did not go exactly as planned. This was supposed to be a team that would be a real contender in the AFC South and win games on the back of its strong running game. The defense was supposed to have made some significant strides this offseason as well as being absolutely abysmal last year.

Against the Arizona Cardinals this past weekend, the nightmare continued, as the Titans could not stop the Cardinals offense any more than it could the dinosaurs extinction. Kyler Murray had five TDs himself, dazzling and showing what he might be in his third NFL season.

Meanwhile, the Tennessee offense could get nothing going, with star running back Derrick Henry struggling to find room and finishing with just 58 yards on the ground. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill struggled as his offensive line collapsed, allowing Cardinals pass-rusher Chandler Jones to record an insane five sacks.

Join BetMGM, Receive Free Year of BetQL
Sign up, deposit $10, and you'll receive a free year of BetQL within 24 hours of your wager settling.
5.0
5.0
Join BetMGM, Receive Free Year of BetQL
Sign up, deposit $10, and you'll receive a free year of BetQL within 24 hours of your wager settling.
Untitled Image

When you compile the struggles of the Titans defense with how tremendous the Seattle Seahawks offense looked against a good Indianapolis Colts defense this past weekend, you get a high betting total for the matchup between the two teams in Week 2. The game was already lined high to begin with at 49.5, which is higher than your average NFL total.

After seeing the Week 1 performances of these two teams, sports bettors slammed the over, causing the line to move all the way up to 54. That is a massive total for an NFL game, almost a full touchdown higher than average.

With how poorly the Titans defense played against Murray, can you really blame people for smashing the over when they are about to face Russell Wilson?

Soaring Total

However, now that the total has been shot to the moon, is there really any value in betting the over?

Our BetQL model says to hold your horses, as it has gotten to the point where this is a massive overreaction to just one week of football. Our model has this game lined at 52.5, which is definitely higher than average, but below the current 54 that is set at most markets.

So before you go betting on a shootout of epic proportions, maybe reel yourself in a little bit and not overreact. This will be Week 2 of the season, and these teams will certainly make adjustments. No way Mike Vrabel doesn't after that embarrassing game at home.

Stories you might also like