Steelers at Colts: Best MNF Bets For Week 12

Steelers at Colts: Best Bets

BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, live NFL public bets, live NFL sharp data, NFL line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NFL articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's Monday Night Football matchup.

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every college football game! Start your free trial today! See our model’s best bets for this game below.

Steelers at Colts: Odds Shopping

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Steelers at Colts: Top Trends

There are a number of trends to be aware of for this matchup.

First, under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers have gone 14-3 SU (79% ROI) and 13-3-1 ATS after allowing 35-plus points in their last game. In other words, they tend to rebound and make some defensive adjustments after getting smacked. Since they allowed 35 in last week's loss to the Eagles, these powerful moneyline and ATS trends are active.

Meanwhile, the Colts have gone 9-1 SU (84% ROI) when playing against a bad team (with a win percentage of 25-40%) over the last three years. It's still early in Jeff Saturday's tenure as head coach, but it's still a notable trend to be aware of.

Finally, BetQL has gone 69.7% (23-10 overall) across all bets in Steelers QB Kenny Pickett's starts. If you bet $100 on each, you'd be up $628 right now. Start your free trial today to see all of our best bets!

Colts vs. Steelers: Keys To Victory

We simulated this game 10,000 times and these were the most important aspects of the game that our model identified:

Steelers: Kenny Pickett needs to have a positive TD:INT ratio and Najee Harris needs to establish the run. These go hand-in-hand, as the two can build off of each other. In wins, Harris rushed for 64.0 yards while Pickett averaged 1.3 touchdown passes and 0.96 interceptions. However, in losses, Harris rushed for just 38.0 yards while Pickett threw 0.67 touchdowns and 1.61 interceptions.

Colts: limit turnovers. Per our simulation, Indy won 70% of the time when they had a positive turnover margin.

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Monday Night Football Final Score Projection

Below, see our team grades and final score projection for this game.