NFL Week 12: Sunday Slate Staff Picks
Find out what bets we’re targeting this week
Dan Karpuc - Nov 28, 2021, 10:54am ESTDan Karpuc: Patriots -280 vs. Titans
Judging by the absurd and unexpected NFL outcomes that have happened in recent weeks, I’m going to simply just trust Bill Belichick. Under him, the Patriots have gone 20-1 straight-up (+22.3 units) after allowing 4.0 or less yards per play in their last game (they just allowed 3.2 yards per play against the Falcons). BetQL has gone 9-2 (81.2%, $273 profit on $100 bets) on moneyline bets in Mac Jones’ career starts and is labeling this as the best bet. During New England’s 5-game winning streak, New England has outscored their opponents 175-50.
Brad Pinkerton: Jets-Texans Under 44.5
The best way to make a matchup of 2-8 teams more entertaining? Bet the under and watch how excited you get at the lack of action. In this case, the BetQL model actually thinks that’s a good strategy, projecting 42 points to be scored, which makes the under 44.5 a five-star value. The Jets and Texans together are averaging a whopping 32.8 points per game, so take the under, sit back and enjoy the heart-pounding suspense as these two teams battle for a higher draft pick.
Lucy Burdge: Patriots -6.5 vs. Titans
The Patriots are on an absolute roll right now and I think that will continue through this Titans game. Now, Belichick will be facing Mike Vrabel and, even though Belichick is 11-9 in his whole career against the Titans, Bill hasn’t always fared well against his former mentees. But the tear that Mac Jones and this Patriots team is on might be enough to override that.
Nick Ashooh: Texans -2.5 vs. Jets
Zach Wilson is starting again, which right now should be the only reason you need, but…it is still the Texans, so you need more. I get it. This is the first time all season Houston is a home favorite, which should tell you something about where the Jets have fallen at this point, but keep in mind, Houston is actually 5-5 ATS this year, not to mention covering in two of their last three. There…that should be enough to justify picking the Texans.
Stories you might also like
See All
