Ross Tucker’s Week 6 NFL Betting Advice

The former NFL offensive lineman and current broadcaster reveals his favorite Week 6 bet

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It’s already Week 6 and we have four teams on a bye as opposed to just two. So, with one less game to choose from, it’s getting more and more difficult to identify value bets.

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Each week, I will give you a bet or two that I like for that week. Sometimes, it will be pure analysis and observations of the matchups and an edge that I feel I am able to identify. Other times it will be my instincts as a former player. And hopefully a lot of times it will be a combination of both.

That is the case yet again this week.

This week I like the San Francisco 49ers getting 3.5 points from the Los Angeles Rams for three different reasons:

D-Line Dominance

San Francisco’s front is legit. We already knew about DeForest Buckner and even linebacker Fred Warner but adding edge-rusher Dee Ford in free agency and kick-ass-wherever-you-line-him-up Nick Bosa with the second pick of the 2019 Draft has allowed this unit to take their game to another level. Bosa was dominant on Monday night against the Browns as San Francisco harassed quarterback Baker Mayfield into a horrific 8-for-22 night for 100 yards, two interceptions and no touchdowns in a humbling 31-3 defeat. I’m not saying the Niners will be able to do that to quarterback Jared Goff and the Rams, but Los Angeles' offensive line has been very disappointing so far. Therefore, the Niners have a shot to get after Goff early and often in LA.

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Rev Up The Run Game

Meanwhile, the 49ers run game is arguably the best in the NFL right now as they were just three Tevin Coleman yards away from having two 100-yard rushers in the same game against the Browns on Monday night. Even without perennial Pro Bowl left tackle Joe Staley, this Kyle Shanahan-designed run game is cooking with Coleman and former undrafted free agent Matt Breida who showed on Monday night that he can flat out fly. The Rams defense has been particularly disappointing these last couple of weeks and now a hot San Francisco offense playing with a lot of confidence comes to town.

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Wrong Way Rams

The Rams won their first three games, albeit in somewhat pedestrian fashion. The last two weeks they’ve been on the wrong end of the scoreboard and, other than some good throws by Goff, haven’t been very impressive in either loss. Until they prove they can turn things around and figure out how to get back in the win column, I’m not picking them to do so.

The Flip Side

That doesn’t mean there aren’t some concerns with this Niners pick. For one, they are playing on a short week after playing on Monday night while the Rams had extra time to prepare and rest after last playing in Seattle on Thursday night in Week 5. That’s a big difference. Plus, the Rams have lost two in a row and the Niners have won four in a row to start the year. You know neither one of those streaks is going to last much longer. Lastly, the Niners will be without stalwart do-it-all fullback Kyle Juszczyk after he injured his knee on Monday night. He is a weapon whether or not the ball is in his hands and his loss will limit Shanahan’s flexibility and versatility on Sunday.

Nonetheless, I believe in San Francisco and think they’ll get the job done.

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About Ross Tucker 

Ross Tucker played in the NFL for seven years as an offensive lineman after graduating from Princeton University in 2001. As a broadcaster, he works for Radio.com, CBS Sports, and Westwood One.  He also owns and hosts his own podcast network including the Ross Tucker Football Podcast all available at RossTucker.com. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @RossTuckerNFL