Shocking Trend Overshadows Yucky Jets-Redskins Matchup

Jets (2-7) at Redskins (1-8)

WSH -2.5, O/U 38.5

Sunday November 17th, 1:00pm EST

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Two of the NFL’s worst teams square off in Week 11, as the New York Jets (2-7) travel to take on the Washington Redskins (1-8). While this game will be borderline unwatchable due to the overwhelming lack of talent on the field and the general train wreck/dumpster fire that both organizations are, there’s one amazing betting trend that you need to know:

The Incredible Trend 

• Over the last two seasons, the OVER is 8-0 when the New York Jets have played a team with a losing record. 

• The average score in those games was Jets 25.7, Opponent 31.2 (56.9 point total). The over/under of this week’s Jets/Redskins matchup is 38.5.  

The "Soaring" Jets Offense

If you ignore the fact that the Jets have averaged 14.4 points per game (third-worst in the NFL) this season and look at their last three games (after they were shut out by the New England Patriots), they’ve put up 22.3 points per contest, which is more respectable (17th).

While Le’Veon Bell is still struggling to rush the ball with any consistency due to an ineffective offensive line and negative game scripts, he has been utilized effectively in the passing game over the last few weeks and the Sam Darold-Jamison Crowder connection seems to be the real deal. Last week, Crowder caught five passes for 81 yards and a touchdown and caught eight for 83 yards and a score the week before. If you recall, Darnold showered him with 17 targets in Week 1 and their chemistry is obvious. 

The Jets offense could continue their slight ascent in this one and there could be an opportunity for Bell to break out, as Washington’s defense has allowed 136.0 rushing yards per game (28th). The Redskins’ pass defense has been right around the league-average. 

The Horrendous Redskins Offense

Over their last six games, Washington’s offense has accumulated a grand total of 45 points. In today’s NFL, that is simply not going to cut it and is almost unbelievable. Shockingly, the lone consistent bright spot of the Redskins offense has been veteran running back Adrian Peterson, who has accumulated 383 rushing yards over the last four games. He’s accumulated 491 rushing yards on 4.3 yards per carry so far this season, but has only found the end zone once. 

Overall, Washington’s 12 points scored per game ranks dead-last in the NFL. They’ve also managed just 10.8 points per game at home this year, which also ranks last. To make matters worse, the Jets have the second-best defense against the run (81.9 rushing yards allowed per game), which should put pressure on rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins, who has looked overmatched under center so far. 

Regardless, New York has allowed 26.4 points per game this season, so if Haskins can make things happen in the air for the first time this season, the 'Skins should be able to put up some points (finally).

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