Rams In Must-Win Mode, Host Seahawks On Sunday Night

Los Angeles enters this game on the outside looking in of the NFC playoff picture

Christina VanMeter, Flickr

Seahawks (10-2) at Rams (7-5)

LAR -1, O/U 47, Sunday December 8th, 8:20pm EST

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  • The Seattle Seahawks (10-2) travel to take on the Los Angeles Rams (7-5) in Week 14. 

  • The Seahawks are coming off a clutch 37-30 victory over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football and have gone 7-4 ATS overall. Incredibly, they’ve gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS on the road this season. The over has gone 7-5 overall in their contests. 

  • The Rams dominated the Arizona Cardinals to the tune of 34-7 last week and have gone 8-4 ATS overall. LA has gone 3-3 SU and 3-3 ATS at home this season and the over has gone 4-8 overall in their contests. 

  • With last week’s victory, Seattle vaulted all the way up to the second spot in the NFC playoff picture and knocked the San Francisco 49ers down to the fifth spot (due to the Seahawks’ head-to-head tiebreaker advantage). 

  • Meanwhile, the Rams are in must-win mode and are currently in the seventh spot in the NFC playoff picture, on the outside looking in. They’re one game behind the Vikings in the standings and this week could ultimately determine their fate. 

Seahawks 

The Seahawks have been deadly on the road this season, going a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. Russell Wilson and company have been known to take advantage of the famed “12th man” in Seattle, but over their last 16 road games in which the total is between 45.5 and 49, the Seahawks have gone 14-2 ATS. That’s bad news for the Rams, as is the fact that in their last 80 games coming off of at least one-straight over, Seattle has gone 54-26 SU. As slight underdogs on the moneyline and versus the spread, there’s certainly a lot to like about the Seahawks in this matchup.

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Wilson has been on fire this season and has amassed 3,177 passing yards, 29 total touchdowns (three rushing) and just four interceptions through 12 games. Per usual, Seattle’s offense will still lean heavily on their running game, as Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny have emerged as a dynamic tandem. Last week against the Vikings, Carson took 23 carries for 102 yards and a touchdown while Penny took 15 carries for 74 yards and a score. In all, Seattle rushed for 218 yards against a strong Minnesota run defense. Both backs have also made an impact in the passing game, but wideouts Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf as well as tight end Jacob Hollister should be Wilson’s primary targets in this contest. The Rams ranked 9th against the pass (averaging 222.8 yards allowed per game) and 13th against the run (averaging 104.3 yards allowed) entering Sunday. 

Rams 

The Rams are in must-win mode since they’re on the outside looking in of the NFC West playoff picture. However, there are a couple of trends working in their favor. In their last 10 games directly after an NFC West victory, the Rams have gone 9-1 SU. Further, in their last 14 games directly after outgaining an opponent by 100 or more total yards in their previous contest, the Rams have gone 12-2 SU. 

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Last week, the Rams passed the ball 43 times and rushed it 30 times in a blowout win over the Cardinals. Other than Robert Woods’ massive performance (13 catches, 172 yards), what stood out in that contest was Todd Gurley’s involvement. He saw 20 touches for 115 scrimmage yards (95 rushing) and a touchdown. Incredibly, it was the second time in 11 games in which Gurley had 20 touches. Although Seattle ranks 8th against the run (allowing 99.6 rushing yards per game) and 29th against the pass (allowing 269.3 passing yards per game), expect the Rams to be more liberal about Gurley’s workload moving forward, especially since they need a huge performance out of him on Sunday night to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Prediction

Los Angeles is listed as a one-point favorite and the over/under is listed at 47 points. BetQL’s NFL Model lists a best bet against the spread, on the moneyline and on the total in this matchup. Find out what they are!