The Rams Are In A Prime Bounce-Back Spot Against The Falcons
After an embarrassing loss last week, expect LA to have success in Week 7
Rams (-3) at Falcons
Sunday October 20th, 1:00pm EST
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- The Los Angeles Rams (3-3) travel to take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-5) in Week 7.
- The Rams have gone 4-2 ATS and the over has gone 3-3 in their games. Meanwhile, the Falcons have gone 1-5 ATS and the over has gone 3-3 in their contests.
- The Rams have gone 16-4 on the road under head coach Sean McVay.
- The Falcons have gone 3-13 in games after after two-straight losses under head coach Dan Quinn. They’ve also gone 5-11 in games after a tight loss (by six points or fewer) and 6-12 following an upset loss as a favorite under Quinn.
- Over the last four weeks combined, Atlanta has allowed 323.3 passing yards per contest, has given up 13 touchdowns and has managed just one sack and no interceptions.
- BetQL’s NFL Model lists the Rams as the best bet in all bet types, including: spread, moneyline, first-half spread and first-half moneyline. Over the 54.5 point total is also listed as the best bet in our algorithm. Find out how many stars are assigned to each!
A Great Bounce-Back Spot
After Jared Goff and the Rams passing offense was shockingly held to just 78 passing yards by the San Francisco 49ers last week, expect Sean McVay’s team to come out firing against a vulnerable Falcons secondary that has been shredded in recent games.
Atlanta’s Cover 3 scheme simply isn’t working and the team has allowed quarterbacks to throw for 272.5 yards per game, the sixth-worst mark in the NFL. Expect Goff and his talented trio of receivers (Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Brandin Cooks) to step up and deliver. The Rams have gone 16-4 on the road in McVay’s tenure, and the Falcons have gone 6-12 following an upset loss under Dan Quinn. This seems like an ideal get-right spot for Los Angeles’ offense.
Last week, Kyler Murray carved the Falcons secondary up for 340 yards and three touchdowns. That came after Deshaun Watson amassed 426 yards and five touchdowns the week before. Over the last four weeks combined, Atlanta has allowed 323.3 passing yards per contest, has given up 13 touchdowns and has generated just one sack and no interceptions.
The Return Of A Star
Todd Gurley’s availability will certainly improve the Rams’ chances of scoring a lot of points in this matchup. As of Friday morning, his thigh injury was trending in the right direction and he seems probable to suit up. Last week in his absence, Malcolm Brown was stuffed and managed 40 rushing yards on 11 carries. While Darrell Henderson took six carries for 39 yards, the two backs combined for one catch and nine receiving yards.
Gurley’s dynamic ability to make plays out of the backfield as both a runner and a receiver make him especially dangerous. Even if the plan is to limit his touches in this game (and moving forward), the playbook will open up substantially which will benefit the offense as a whole.
The Prized Newcomer
The Rams gave up two first-round picks and a fourth-rounder in a trade to the Jacksonville Jaguars in exchange for superstar cornerback Jalen Ramsey. Out with what was deemed a “back injury” while he was awaiting a trade from the Jags, Ramsey has publicly stated a desire to play in this game and if he does, he will undoubtedly see some time against Julio Jones, who has been dealing with a hip injury of his own.
Since Jones is not at 100 percent, placing Ramsey in man-to-man shadow coverage on him would not only be an effective strategy from a schematic point of view, but it would also allow the new Ram to stay on the field for a majority of the snaps while not having to worry about complex coverages in his new defense.
All signs are pointing to a dominant bounce-back for the Rams in this spot.
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