NFL Player Prop Values For Every Wild Card Round Game | BetQL
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NFL Player Prop Values For Every Wild Card Game

The model identified the following values for the first round of the NFL Playoffs

The NFL Playoffs are here and the BetQL Model is ready to help you make the most informed bets possible! Check out player prop values for each game below, accompanied by star ratings and projections. Be sure to also check out our full-game best bets, public data, sharp data and line movement dashboard as well!

Joe Mixon UNDER 19.5 Rush Attempts ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Game: Bengals -5.5 vs. Raiders, O/U 49, Saturday 4:30pm EST

The Bengals running back missed the regular-season finale after testing positive for COVID-19, but has since cleared the league’s health and safety protocols. BetQL is projecting him to take 16 carries for 80 yards and a touchdown in this matchup and it’s worth noting that he didn’t get 20+ carries in any of his final five regular-season starts. Since Cincinnati has utilized Joe Burrow’s elite passing ability, it’s very realistic that Mixon still gets 25ish touches, but might get a decent amount as a receiver out of the backfield.

Stefon Diggs OVER 67.5 Rec. Yards ⭐⭐⭐

Game: Bills (-4) vs. Patriots, O/U 44, Saturday 8:15pm EST

The model is projecting Diggs to catch six passes for 90 yards and a touchdown in this matchup despite the fact that Bill Belichick-led teams consistently have found a way to limit their opponents’ biggest threat. Luckily for Diggs, Buffalo’s biggest threat is Josh Allen due to his dynamic running ability. When the Bills played the Patriots back on December 26th (not the crazy wind game), Diggs caught seven of 13 targets for 85 yards and a touchdown in a 33-21 win. Expect him to be peppered with targets again in the rematch. 

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Tom Brady OVER 2.5 Passing TD’s ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Game: Bucs (-8.5) vs. Eagles, O/U 46, Sunday 1:00pm EST

Death, taxes and Tom Brady dominating in the playoffs: these are the three certainties in life. The model is projecting the ageless QB to throw for three touchdowns against the Eagles in this spot despite being without Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Back on October 14, Brady had his most accurate passing game of the season against this Eagles team. He went 34-42 for 297 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in that game, so he already has the blueprint to carve up this opponent when it really matters.

Dak Prescott OVER 274.5 Passing Yards ⭐⭐⭐

Game: Cowboys (-3) vs. 49ers, O/U 51, Sunday 4:30pm EST

The Cowboys quarterback has been hot lately and BetQL is projecting him to keep it going with a 300-yard performance in this matchup. Make no mistake about it: this 49ers team has limited opposing passers all season long, but Prescott and his offense are clicking on all cylinders right now. With Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb as his wide receivers, Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard as two dynamic pass-catching running backs and Dalton Schultz emerging as a reliable receiving tight end, Prescott should be able to make things happen through the air at home.

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Ben Roethlisberger OVER 0.5 INT’s ⭐⭐

Game: Steelers (+12.5) at Chiefs, O/U 46, Sunday 8:15pm EST

The Steelers might be the worst NFL playoff team in quite some time and find themselves as double-digit road underdogs. In what should be Ben Roethlisberger’s last career game, he will be slinging the pigskin all over the field, and probably at least once, into the hands of a Chiefs defender. BetQL is projecting him to throw one interception and Kansas City’s defense picked things up in the second-half of the season, which doesn’t bode well for an old, banged-up QB that has thrown an INT in each of his last three games (including against the Chiefs on December 26th). 

Matthew Stafford OVER 274.5 Passing Yards ⭐⭐⭐

Game: Rams (-4) vs. Cardinals, O/U 49.5, Monday 8:15pm EST

There’s no doubt that Stafford will be facing a lot of pressure in this matchup, both on the field and as far as his legacy is concerned. The Rams spent a ton of money and gave away draft picks to construct a team with tons of big names and they’re in a position to make some noise. Stafford went over this passing yards mark in both regular-season meetings against the Cardinals, throwing for 280 yards early in the year and then 287 yards late in the year. Combined, he accounted for five touchdowns and just one interception in those games and should be able to utilize his weapons again in the third matchup.

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