NFL Opening Line Analysis: Week 14

Judging by what happened on Sunday, expect these lines to move

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Bengals (1-11) at Browns (5-7)

CLE -8.5, O/U 42.5, Sunday December 8th, 1:00pm EST

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The Bengals dominated the Jets 22-6 on Sunday and Andy Dalton’s return as the starting quarterback paid off. Most importantly, Cincinnati’s defense stifled a Jets team that had scored 34 points in three-straight games heading into that matchup. Meanwhile, the Browns essentially eliminated themselves from playoff contention with a 20-13 loss to the Steelers. Cleveland scored three second-half points and Odell Beckham Jr. had just three catches for 29 yards as the team somehow still can’t figure out how to utilize him. Expect this line to get much tighter as the week rolls on since the Browns opened as 8.5-point favorites. 

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Redskins (3-9) at Packers (9-3)

GB -13.5, O/U 42, Sunday December 8th, 1:00pm EST

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After beating the Lions last week, the Redskins took down the Panthers in Carolina 29-21 on Sunday and shockingly limited Christian McCaffrey in the process. Dwayne Haskins didn’t quite break out of his rookie woes, but protected the ball as Washington gashed the Panthers on the ground, amassing 248 rushing yards (129 by Derrius Guice, 99 by Adrian Peterson) and running in three touchdowns. The Packers beat down the Giants 31-13 at MetLife Stadium, but based on Washington’s two-game winning streak, it’ll be interesting to see if they get some love by the betting community throughout the week. 

Dolphins (3-9) at Jets (4-8)

NYJ -6, O/U 44, Sunday December 8th, 1:00pm EST

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The Dolphins and the Jets are both 3-2 in their last five games. What a world we live in! Miami took care of business the first time these teams met back on November 3rd, winning by a 26-18 score. Miami is coming off of an impressive 37-31 victory over the Eagles while the Jets were just held to six points against the previously-winless Bengals on the road. Cincinnati had one of the worst statistical defenses in the NFL heading into that contest and New York’s recent offensive success was squashed in one horrible outing, which is one of the reasons why this line should get tighter as the week progresses. 

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Titans (7-5) at Raiders (6-6)

TEN -3, O/U 46.5, Sunday December 8th, 4:25pm EST

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Over the last two weeks, the Raiders have lost 34-3 (to the Jets) and 40-9 (to the Chiefs). The Titans are on a three-game winning streak, have won five out of six and have flourished with Ryan Tannehill under center. Over their last three contests, they’ve put up 35, 42 and 31 points as Derrick Henry has run wild on everyone. That spells trouble for the Raiders, who are suddenly having trouble doing anything on offense while essentially becoming a revolving door on defense. Expect the line to move in Tennessee’s favor in the coming days. 

Giants (2-10) at Eagles (5-7)

PHI -8.5, O/U 47, Monday December 9th, 8:15pm EST

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As noted above, the Eagles just lost to the Dolphins. Therefore, any trust bettors had in them was instantly erased. Although the Giants have clearly struggled all season long, there’s a chance that Daniel Jones can have both Evan Engram (foot) and Golden Tate (concussion) back for this contest. With Sterling Shepard and Saquon Barkley as his current weapons, adding the aforementioned playmakers could bolster New York’s offense. The Eagles essentially need to win every game moving forward in order to make the playoffs (and need help in front of them), but covering an 8.5-point spread doesn’t exactly seem like a great spot (against anyone) after losing to Miami. 

Track all Week 14 line movement using BetQL's Line Movement Dashboard!