Over the last two seasons, the Raiders are 4-0 SU (+9.25 units) on the road playing against teams that average 27+ points per game (231.3% ROI). The Bengals ranked T-7th in scoring and put up 27.1 points per game as one of the most dynamic units in the NFL. Led by Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati is a major threat and Las Vegas will have their hands full. Despite that, the Raiders have gone unbeaten in this situation over the last two years.
The Cardinals have gone 6-0 SU (+9.7 units) as a road underdog this season (161.7% ROI). Arizona has also covered the spread in all those games against the following teams: Titans, Rams, Browns, 49ers, Seahawks and Cowboys. Back on October 3, Arizona blew out this Rams team by the score of 37-20 in Los Angeles, which is important to know. Interestingly, the Cardinals beat the aforementioned teams by an average of 15.3 points per game and won five of the six contests by double-digits.
Under Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers have gone 7-1 SU (+8.2 units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in three straight games (102.5% ROI). San Francisco held the Rams to 64 yards on the ground in Week 18 and surrendered 86 to the Texans in Week 17 and 90 to the Titans in Week 16. They’ll have a difficult time containing Ezekiel Elliott, Tony Pollard and Dallas’ dynamic offense in this matchup, but as a unit, this Niners defense has stepped up to the plate against the run.
Under Sean McDermott, the Bills have gone 13-2 SU (+12.4 units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games (77.5% ROI). Buffalo allowed 48 rushing yards in a win over the Jets in Week 18 and 96 in a win over the Falcons in Week 17. The Bills beat the Patriots 33-21 last time they played on December 26, but New England took down Buffalo 14-10 in a very odd game with windy conditions back on December 6. In that win, the Pats had 222 rushing yards, so it’ll be fascinating to see what happens in this AFC East battle.
Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers have gone 37-11 SU (+22.2 units) after covering the spread in three of their last four games (46.1% ROI). While the Chiefs seemingly hold a clear advantage and beat the Steelers 36-10 at home in Week 16, it’s important to note that Pittsburgh won and covered in the other three games they played in the final four weeks of the regular season (against the Titans, Browns and Ravens).
Under Bruce Arians, the Buccaneers have gone 18-8 SU (+11.8 units) against teams that average 350+ yards per game of total offense (45.2% ROI). Jalen Hurts and the Eagles averaged 359.9 total yards per game (14th in the NFL) this season, thus making this trend relevant.
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