NFL Public Betting Report: Week 12
These three games have featured some surprising public and sharp betting data
With just a few hours left until kickoff, let’s explore some of the Week 12 betting slate’s interesting trends right from BetQL’s Public Betting Dashboard!
The Public Doesn't Trust The Browns
While the Cleveland Browns are riding a two-game winning streak into today’s game against the Miami Dolphins, who own the NFL’s worst point differential by a wide margin, they’ve only garnered 38 percent of public bets ATS (as 10.5 point favorites). That’s slightly surprising since an offense containing Baker Mayfield, Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt have to break out at some time, right? It’s safe to say those two recent wins by the Dolphins might have altered the public’s perception when it comes to this data.
The Sharps Are All Over The Patriots
All week, the Dallas Cowboys have been touted as a logical bet as they travel to take on the New England Patriots in Foxborough. Featuring the league’s top offense by various advanced metrics, the Cowboys will have to go into a cold, wet Gillette Stadium, where the Patriots have utterly dominated their opponents in the Bill Belichick era. Nonetheless, New England has attracted 51 percent of the total bets ATS (as six-point favorites), but 64 percent of the total money has been wagered on them. Further, just 37 percent of total bets have gone on New England’s -255 moneyline, but a whopping 90 percent of the money has. That’s an indication that while the public isn’t all over the Patriots, the pros are.
The Steelers/Bengals UNDER Is A Massive Public Bet
This AFC North battle has an over/under of just 38 points, but that’s still too high, according to the public and sharps alike. An incredible 98 percent of total bets and 85 percent of the total money wagered has gone on the under, and injury news likely is the root cause. Both James Conner and JuJu Smith-Schuster are out for the Steelers while initial news of Cincinnati’s A.J. Green returning were squashed and he will sit out again. Based on the personnel available and the recent performance of both offenses, it’s clear that the public thinks this will be among the lowest scoring Week 12 contests.
For more insight like this, check out the rest of the slate on BetQL’s Public Betting Dashboard, where you can sort through public bets, sharp picks and identify the Pro Edge for every game with one click.