NFL Prop Bets To Consider In Week 12

There are a number of exploitable player prop bets to consider in Week 12. The following props and odds can be found on DraftKings.

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Matt Ryan Over 302.5 Passing Yards (-148)

If you weren’t already aware, this Buccaneers defense has the most obvious pass-funnel scheme in the NFL. They rank 2nd against the run, allowing just 80.9 rushing yards per game, but 31st against the pass, allowing 290.9 passing yards per game. This is a dream matchup for Matt Ryan and Atlanta’s offense. They rank first in the NFL in pass play percentage (67.65 percent) and will likely find a lot of success in that department in this contest.

Sharp bettors are all over the Falcons in Week 12. Read our preview and find out why that’s the case!

Aaron Jones To Score A TD (-125)

Aaron Jones has been a touchdown machine this season. His 11 rushing scores are tied with McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook for the NFL lead, and he’s added three receiving touchdowns, as well. While the Packers have limited his touches in order to keep him fresh, expect them to lean on him in a tough matchup against the 49ers. He’ll be extra rested after a bye, and it’s worth noting that the 49ers allowed 27 points to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 10 and then 26 to the Arizona Cardinals last week, well below the standard they established earlier in the season.

Calvin Ridley Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-112)/To Score A TD (+110)

In case you missed it, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense is the league’s most obvious pass funnel. Week after week, defensive coordinator Todd Bowles’ crew has been dominant against the run but horrendous against the pass. Ridley finally blew up against the Panthers last week (8-143-1), and while Julio Jones should also see double-digit targets, the absence of Austin Hooper (knee) and Devonta Freeman (foot) should result in heavy usage for the former Alabama standout once again. 

Ross Tucker loves the Falcons ATS this week. Check out his column and find out all the reasons why!

Dallas Goedert To Score A TD (+225)

Is Goedert becoming more valuable than teammate Zach Ertz? That’s debatable. It’s been Goedert that has three touchdown catches in his past four games and both continue to be heavily utilized within Philadelphia’s offense. Since the Seahawks have struggled against the pass this year (allowing 271.8 yards per game through the air) Goedert should see targets once again and he’s arguably the go-to red zone option right now. 

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Prop Bet Of The Week 

Jameis Winston Over 0.5 INTs (-230)

Atlanta’s defense has held opponents to under 10 points in back-to-back weeks for the first time in 10 years, forced four interceptions from Kyle Allen last week and have sacked opposing quarterbacks 11 times in their last two contests. Over his last five games, Winston has thrown the ball an average of 48 times per game and has thrown a total of eight touchdowns and 13 interceptions in that span while taking 18 sacks and fumbling the ball eight times (losing four of them). Expect at least one interception from the careless quarterback this week. 

Check out this week's best bets from our NFL model, including two 5-star values!