BetMGM's NFL Prop Bet Picks: AFC and NFC Championship

NFL picks for the conference championships in the NFL playoffs, including Jalen Hurts (rushing yards), Patrick Mahomes (passing yards) and Ja’Marr Chase (receiving yards).

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With a couple of intriguing NFL matchups set to take place this week, I’ve identified a few favorable football betting player props on the BetMGM Sportsbook that you could consider ahead of the action.

NFL Player Prop Bets: NFC Championship

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles, 3 p.m. ET Sunday

Brock Purdy Under 220.5 Passing Yards (-120)

After a 214-yard performance against the Cowboys last week, 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy has been under this total in four of his last seven games. And this could be his toughest test yet.

The Eagles allowed the second-fewest passing yards to quarterbacks and were first in passing defense DVOA in the regular season. I expect Purdy to struggle on the road.

Jalen Hurts Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Since returning from injury, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has recorded 47 rushing yards combined in two games. I don’t think he’ll want to run much in this matchup.

The 49ers allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards to quarterbacks and were second in rushing defense DVOA in the regular season. Hurts may have a solid day throwing the ball, so I don’t think he’ll need to run that often.

DeVonta Smith Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith has been in a good rhythm recently. He’s gone over this total in four of his last five games.

And he might be able to exploit some weaknesses in the 49ers’ secondary. Despite them ranking fifth in passing defense DVOA, they allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to wide receivers in the regular season.

NFL Player Prop Bets: AFC Championship

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs, 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday

Patrick Mahomes Under 273.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is one of the best players in the NFL right now. However, he’s been under this total in three of his last four games. 

The Bengals were 12th in passing defense DVOA during the regular season, but they’ve held five of their last seven opponents to under this total. Considering Mahomes had 223 yards in a three-point game against the Bengals earlier this season, I don’t believe he’ll quite reach 274 in this contest.

Isiah Pacheco Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco has been over this total nine times in his last 10 contests. That includes a 66-yard performance on 14 carries against the Bengals in the regular season.

Pacheco has had double-digit carries eight times during that 10-game stretch, and the Bengals were only 14th in rushing defense DVOA during the regular season. I think Pacheco will have enough of a workload to go over this number here.

Ja’Marr Chase Over 83.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The last time Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase played the Chiefs, he caught seven passes on eight targets for 97 yards. I don’t think 84 yards will be problematic this time.

Chase has been over this number in two of his last three games. Considering the Chiefs were 20th in passing defense DVOA in the regular season and 11 wideouts went over this total against them this season, Chase is in a good position to thrive in this matchup.

Who are your picks to win the AFC and NFC championship? Bet on them risk-free at BetMGM using the offer below!

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Colton Pool is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM living in Bozeman, Montana, focusing on the NFL and NBA. Previously, he covered Montana State football at the Bozeman Daily Chronicle and worked at newspapers in his home state of North Dakota. He graduated from North Dakota State in 2015.