Week 4 NFL Player Prop Model Picks

The BetQL Model identified the following player prop values

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Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season is here and BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis,  exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of. We crunched all the numbers and our model identified the following player prop values.

DERRICK HENRY OVER 71.5 RUSHING YARDS

GAME: TITANS +3.5 AT COLTS, O/U 43

PROJECTION: 21 RUSHES, 105 YARDS, TD

When involved in close games against the Giants in Week 1 and Raiders in Week 3, Tennessee’s workhorse rushed 21 times for 82 yards and then 20 times for 85 yards and a touchdown, respectively. The Titans are projected to keep this game close as 3.5-point underdogs against the Colts, which works in Henry's favor.

Indy has only allowed 77.0 rushing yards per game (3rd-best in the NFL), but they’ve faced the Texans, Jaguars and Chiefs… none of whom have an unquestioned bell cow back like Tennessee does. This entire Titans offense runs through Henry and this week should be no exception. The model is projecting him to take 21 carries for 105 yards and a touchdown in this matchup.

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