The Buffalo Bills and New Orleans Saints will meet up for their Thanksgiving showdown on Thursday at 8:20 p.m. EST at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
The Bills are 6.5-point favorites over the Saints with the moneylines at Bills -270 and Saints +220. The O/U on this total is set at 45 points.
And BetQL sees huge ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value on the Saints +6.5 in this game.
The BetQL Model sees enormous ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value on the Saints +6.5 against the Bills, projecting the Bills to win by four, 25-21. So as you're enjoying your Thanksgiving spread, look for the Saints to cover this one.
Some trends favoring the Saints to cover this spread are that Sean Payton is 50-19 ATS against good offensive teams averaging 24 or more points per game while coaching New Orleans; 16-3 ATS vs. teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better; and 25-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5-9.5 points.
As the underdog this season, the Saints have covered spreads of 3.5, 3 twice, and 4 points, so they could very well cover this 6.5-point spread against the Bills in this one.
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