Public, Sharp Bettors Drive Up Super Bowl Point Total

The total opened at 51.5 points, but early action on the over has resulted in noticeable movement

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49ers vs. Chiefs

Sunday 2/2/20, 6:30pm EST

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  • The Super Bowl LIV total opened at 51.5 points.

  • Less than 24 hours later, public and sharp bettors drove the total up 2.5 points (to 54).

The over has gone 10-8 in Kansas City's games and 9-8-1 in San Francisco's contests this season. However, some recency bias could be in play, as both of the Chiefs' playoff games went way over the total (six points over in their win over the Tennessee Titans and 18.5 points over in their Divisional Round victory over the Houston Texans). While San Fran's Divisional Round win against the Minnesota Vikings stayed under the total, their victory over the Green Bay Packers on Sunday went 10.5 points over. Find out what the best bet in our model is!

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