The Washington Football Team (4-6, 3-7 ATS) will host the Seattle Seahawks (3-7, 5-5 ATS) in the Week 12 edition of Monday Night Football. The Seahawks opened as a -3.5 favorite, but are currently -1 favorites after the line swung all the way to +1.5 in the middle of the week. CLICK HERE to see live odds or scroll down to see best bets, trends, player props, injury updates, an editor’s pick and exclusive sportsbook offers for this game.
The model is listing Seattle’s -110 moneyline as a ⭐⭐⭐ value since we’re giving them a 56.4% chance to win (-129 implied moneyline). Washington has gone 2-3 overall (1-4 ATS) at home this season and every week is now a must-win situation for Russell Wilson and the Seahawks, who need to string together a run to keep their long playoff odds alive.
The model is listing three different ⭐⭐⭐ 1st half bets as well, so be sure to click the button below to see them now! For $4.99, you’ll unlock every best bet for this game, along with every NBA, NCAAB, and NHL value on today’s slate!
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There are a number of relevant trends to take note of for this game. First, targeting the Seahawks following an upset loss has been a profitable strategy. Under Pete Carroll, Seattle has gone 24-5 straight-up (+20.1 units) in that situation, which is notable since they lost to the Arizona Cardinals as a 5-point favorite last week.
Not only that, but the Seahawks have gone 21-4 straight-up (+18.8 units) and 16-2 ATS after two or more consecutive losses under Carroll. They’ve dropped consecutive games against the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals.
However, Washington coach Ron Rivera has historically been dominant after an upset winas a road understood. He’s gone 15-3 straight-up (+14.0 units) in that situation, which is important since Washington beat the Panthers as a road dog last week. CLICK HERE to see every trend for this contest.
There are a number of player prop bets to target in this matchup, but we will focus on two in particular, starting with over 17.5 rushing yards for Russell Wilson, a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value in BetQL’s model. We project him to take eight carries for 45 yards, easily surpassing this mark. Wilson has gone 20-40 for 161 passing yards and then 14-26 for 207 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions combined through the air over the last two weeks, and is seemingly not himself since he returned with surgically-placed pins in his throwing hand. It wouldn’t be shocking to see Wilson make some plays with his legs. Keep in mind that he surpassed this 17.5 yard total in two of his last four starts and has the ability to do so in one scramble.
On the Washington side, BetQL is listing running back Antonio Gibson over 10.5 receiving yards as a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ value. We project him to haul in three passes for 20 yards. While J.D. McKissic has slightly eaten into his work on passing downs, Gibson is a talented pass-catching back who can contribute when given the opportunity. He’s gone over 10.5 receiving yards in two of his last three games and six times overall this year. CLICK HERE to see every player prop value for this matchup.
I’m targeting the Seahawks’ 1st half moneyline (-115) in this matchup. BetQL has gone 24-16 (60%) on 1st half WFT spread bets and is listing Seattle (-0.5) as the best bet. Rather than bet that spread at higher juice, I’ll bet the moneyline and also take solace in the fact that under Ron Rivera, Washington has gone a ridiculously-terrible 4-17 ATS in the first half when the first-half total has been between 21.5 and 24.5 points. Since the first-half over/under is 24 points, that trend is active and I’d bet on Seattle to be winning at halftime at the best price you can get.
Below are the impactful injury updates for this matchup, all of which involve the Washington Football Team.
The 26-year-old continues to sit out practice with the hip injury and is likely to be sidelined for the second straight game. Logan Thomas (hamstring) is expected to be activated from the injured reserve ahead of Monday’s contest, so Seals-Jones’ time as Washington’s top tight end is likely over, regardless of whether or not he suits up against Seattle.
Thomas has apparently looked good at practice since being designated to return from injured reserve Wednesday, and he's expected to be back on the field for Week 12. The 30-year-old will have a limited snap count if he suits up, which could limit his fantasy appeal coming off the six-game absence. However, he'd still clearly be the team's best pass-catching option at tight end, especially with Ricky Seals-Jones (hip) listed as doubtful.
Samuel hasn't seen the field since Week 5 due to the lingering groin injury, but he was able to practice as a limited participant all week heading into Monday's matchup with Seattle. The 25-year-old will be on a strict snap count if available, which could limit the upside of his return to the field.
Humphries was limited by the hip injury at practice this week but should have a chance to suit up for Monday Night Football. DeAndre Carter and Cam Sims could be more involved if Humphries is unable to face Seattle. CLICK HERE for updated injury information.