Check Out These Trends Before Betting Broncos-Chiefs

Chiefs Look To Avoid Upset

When the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Denver Broncos on Sunday night, everyone in the sports betting world will be all over the trend on Chiefs head coach Andy Reid. Reid is coming off a bye week, and when that is the case, he is 19-3 SU in the regular season. When you include postseason games, he's 26-6. When you look at just his time with the Chiefs and remove the Eagles from the equation, he's 10-4, including 7-1 with current superstar QB Patrick Mahomes.

Kansas City has also beaten Denver an incredible 11 straight times, so clearly they have the Broncos' number. However, I'm not betting on who wins, I'm betting on who covers. Over his last 18 seasons coming off of a bye week, Reid is 11-7 ATS and has failed to cover in three of the last four years.

So with that in mind, you cannot just blindly bet on Kansas City because of one trend on Reid. In fact, you shouldn't bet on any team coming off a bye week this year. Teams with an extra week of rest are 2-9-1 ATS this season, looking rusty and sometimes ill-prepared for play. Kansas City's explosive offense of previous years has quelled quite a bit over the course of this season. What is usually a great and dynamic Reid offense has been stifled by many teams so far.

Vic Fangio is one of the best defensive minds in the game, despite what you may think of him as a head coach. Mahomes has always struggled against his defense, but the Broncos never can grab a win. As a Bears fan, Fangio was the reason the team did so well in 2018 with his two-deep scheme, not Matt Nagy. That has never been more clear than it is today.

Kansas City has had two weeks to prepare for this game, and we'll see if Reid has fixed his offense enough to prove it to us all against a tough Broncos defense.

Broncos Have Perfect Opportunity

If there was a time that the Broncos could stop their long losing streak against the Chiefs, this may be it. Kansas City is in a funk offensively, and that has been the driving force behind all the losses and failure this team has had a problem with against the Chiefs. What also has been lacking is offense, which has been bad, to say the least since Peyton Manning retired from the NFL.

This season, the offense has been better than usual, albeit still unspectacular. At the very least, they have a quarterback that doesn't turn the ball over like most of them have since Manning. Teddy Bridgewater is actually 24-5 ATS on the road in his career, which is just ridiculous to think about. He is the best QB in the NFL on the road when it comes to covering spreads.

On the opposite side, Patrick Mahomes is 7-13-1 ATS when his teams are favored by more than a TD. It has been happening for a while now, and most people have been on it for a while, but the Chiefs just stink at covering spreads.

Denver is 6-5 and is coming off of an impressive win against a very talented Los Angles Chargers team. They should not be undervalued by as much as +10 if you ask me. Until Kansas City can prove that they can cover spreads and win them consistently, I'll go against them in many situations.

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