Bills Have Momentum In Thanksgiving Day Matchup Against The Cowboys

Bills (8-3) at Cowboys (6-5)

DAL -6.5, O/U 45, Thursday November 28th, 4:30pm EST

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• The Dallas Cowboys (6-5) host the Buffalo Bills (8-3) on Thanksgiving Day. 

• This season, the Cowboys have gone 7-4 ATS and the over has gone 7-4 in their contests. 

• Meanwhile, the Bills have gone 7-3 ATS and the over has gone 3-8 in their games. 

• Dallas has lost two out of their last three contests and are coming off of a 13-9 Week 12 road loss against the New England Patriots. 

• Buffalo has won two in a row and is coming off of a dominant 20-3 victory over the Denver Broncos. 

• The Cowboys are listed as 6.5-point favorites while the over/under is listed at 45.

Cowboys 

It’s safe to say that while the Cowboys are leading the NFC East, there’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding the team, especially Jason Garrett and the coaching staff. Jerry Jones publicly called out the team and staff following Sunday’s loss and there’s going to be a lot of pressure on everyone involved in this contest. 

Dak Prescott went 19-for-33 passing for just 212 yards against New England and failed to find the end zone, throwing an interception in the loss. Primary wideout Amari Cooper succumbed to Stephon Gilmore’s shadow coverage and finished the game without a single catch. Meanwhile, Ezekiel Elliott carried the ball 21 times for 86 yards and was able to move the ball consistently, but was inexplicably not trusted to lead the offense down the stretch. 

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Although Buffalo’s defense isn’t quite on New England’s level, they’ve allowed just 184.3 passing yards per game (3rd-best in the NFL) and rank 15th against the run, allowing 104.4 yards per contest. Therefore, expect Dallas to rely heavily on Elliott in this contest. Over their last 55 games, the Cowboys have gone 20-35 ATS as a home favorite. 

Bills 

Over their last 49 games against poor passing defenses in the second half of the regular season (allowing a completion percentage of 61 percent or worse), the Cowboys have gone 34-15 SU. While Josh Allen has been a much-improved passer this season, there’s still a lot to be desired in his game. Accuracy is one of those factors, as he has completed 60.2 percent of his passes, amassing 15 passing scores and eight interceptions. While he has scored seven rushing touchdowns as well, Allen’s overall efficiency as a runner has decreased this season, due to the fact that opposing defenses had an entire offseason to prepare for his dual-threat abilities. The Cowboys rank sixth in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (213.6) and they’ve been average against the run (just like Buffalo), ranking 16th (allowing 104.8 rushing yards per contest).

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Dallas’ offense has proven to be one of the league’s best on a cumulative basis and they have the potential to break out every single week. The same cannot be said for Buffalo’s. While John Brown has been one of the most reliable receivers in the entire league this season, the Bills offense is not exactly dangerous, with the exception of rookie running back Devin Singletary, who has shown explosiveness here and there when he can find separation. If Buffalo expects to contend and win this game, they’ll need to control the time of possession, keep Dallas’ offense off the field and hold their own when the Cowboys are on offense. That’s easier said than done, but the Bills could improve to a very impressive 9-3 with the victory as they look to continue their playoff-bound campaign. 

Prediction

Find out which team BetQL’s Model lists as the best bet in this matchup!