Bears In Must-Win Mode Against Rodgers, Packers

Chicago must continue their recent surge to keep their playoff hopes alive

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Bears (7-6) at Packers (10-3)

GB -4, O/U 40.5, Sunday 12/15/19, 1:00pm EST

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  • The Chicago Bears (7-6) travel to take on the Green Bay Packers (10-3) in Week 15. Green Bay won their previous meeting in Week 1 by the score of 10-3. The Packers are listed as four-point home favorites and the over/under is listed at 40.5 points. 

  • The Bears have won three-straight games, but have gone 2-7 ATS in their last nine games. They’re coming off a 31-24 victory over the Dallas Cowboys last week and have gone 3-3 on the road (1-5 ATS) this season.

  • The Packers have won seven of their last nine games overall and are coming off a 20-15 win over the Washington Redskins. They’ve gone 6-1 at home (4-3 ATS) this season. 

  • The over has gone 5-8 in Chicago’s games and 6-7 in Green Bay’s games. 

  • Entering Sunday, the Packers own the 2nd seed in the NFC playoff picture while the Bears hold the 8th seed and are on the outside looking in of the two Wild Card spots. Chicago is firmly in must-win mode if they expect to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Bears can’t be eliminated Sunday if they win, but if they lose, either a Vikings win (or tie) or a Rams win would eliminate them. 

  • BetQL’s NFL Model lists a best bet against the spread, on the moneyline and on the total for this game. Keep reading to find out what they are! 

Bears

Back in Week 1, Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky threw the ball 45 times, but was sacked five times, amassed just 228 yards and the team managed three points on the scoreboard. Luckily for Chicago, Trubisky has dialed up his play over the last three weeks and is coming off his best performance of the season in which he went 23-for-31 for 224 yards, three touchdowns and an interception and carried the ball 10 times for 63 yards and another score. While his recent surge has been a sight for sore eyes for Bears fans (who have been waiting on their franchise quarterback to step up all season) it will be fascinating to see if he can continue the surge this week. Chicago has scored 18.7 points per game this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL. Meanwhile, their defense has carried them for much of the year, as they’ve allowed 17.8 points per contest, 4th in the NFL. 

The Bears have gone 3-3 on the road (1-5 ATS) this season. Read Ross Tucker’s breakdown of this game and find out if he trusts the Bears.

Packers

This Packers team is a tough nut to crack. Unlike most Aaron Rodgers-led teams, their offense has been close to average in terms of scoring, ranking 13th with 23.8 points per contest (including 19.7 over their last three games which ranks 22nd over that span). Further, Green Bay ranks 13th in points allowed per game (20.8). Nonetheless, they hold the second spot in the NFC playoff picture and are recognized as a legitimate contender now that Davante Adams, Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are all healthy. (Adams was limited in practice at the end of the week for precautionary reasons due to a lingering toe ailment but doesn’t have an injury designation.) That will allow coach Matt LaFleur to open up his offense against a talented Bears defense. Adams’ presence in particular supplies Rodgers with a reliable, go-to target, a luxury that the All-Pro quarterback didn’t have when the wideout sat out the whole month of October. 

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Rodgers went 18-for-30 for 203 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions against Chicago in Week 1 and the Packers mustered only 47 rushing yards on 22 carries. Further, not a single Packers receiver recorded over 52 yards (Adams was held to just 36). Green Bay has gone 6-1 at home (4-3 ATS) this season and will look to make a statement with a big win over their divisional rival, which would almost assuredly eliminate them from playoff contention.

Prediction

BetQL’s NFL Model lists a best bet against the spread, on the moneyline and on the total for this game. Find out what they are!