San Francisco 49ers
12-5
New England Patriots
4-13
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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San Francisco 49ers vsNew England Patriots Prediction

The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat the San Francisco 49ers. Cam Newton is projected for 47 rushing yards and a 42% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where San Francisco 49ers wins, Jimmy Garoppolo averages 1.2 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.86 TDs to 1.39 interceptions. Jerick McKinnon averages 73 rushing yards and 0.88 rushing TDs when San Francisco 49ers wins and 46 yards and 0.42 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 27% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time.

New England Patriots Preview

The San Francisco 49ers have been a great case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde as they get demolished by the Miami Dolphins 43-17 and then come out and beat the Los Angeles Rams 24-16 in a game that was never in doubt. The 49ers are not the same team that was leading 20-10 late in the Super Bowl just this past February. They are riddled with injuries, most notably being the loss of defensive star Nick Bosa. 

However, the 49ers have tried to make due with what they have. Three different quarterbacks have appeared in 49ers games this season, much like the Patriots, either due to injury or poor performance. Additionally, Raheem Mostert’s lingering injury has slowed down the running game immensely of which they relied on heavily last season. The 49ers will have to utilize their playmakers at receiver, such as Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and especially George Kittle. 

If the 49ers can get their playmakers involved, they’ll be able to put points on the board. This season the offense is averaging just 24.7 points per game, which are mostly inflated due to playing the New York Giants and New York Jets. If Kyle Shannahan can put together a sound enough gameplan like he did against the Rams, the 49ers could win this game.

San Francisco 49ers Preview

The New England Patriots have not held a losing record by the month of October or later, since the 2002 season. With their 18-12 loss to the Denver Broncos the Patriots currently sit at 2-3 and third in the AFC East behind the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins. The loss to the Broncos has left Bill Belichick and the Patriots roster with the glaring questions. 

The first of which being: what happened to the Cam Newton led offense that was just one yard shy of beating the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday Night Football? The discombobulated offensive line may be the answer. With the absence of David Andrews and Shaq Mason due to injury and COVID, the Patriots had to rotate their offensive line completely. The lack of chemistry led to a poor run offense in which they usually pride themselves on and more pressure for Newton. Furthermore, the team was riddled with COVID complications for the past couple of weeks, even affecting star players such as Stephon Gilmore and Newton.

Defensively, the Patriots have looked great, besides their 35 points given up to the likely MVP Russell Wilson. The nearly shut down the reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs until the game was out of reach late. Additionally the Broncos were gifted the ball in Patriots’ territory a majority of possessions and all that resulted were six field goals. If the defense continues to play their game then they should be capable of stifling an injury-ridden 49ers offense.

Full Game Prediction

Lines have opened with the Patriots as -2 point favorites over the 49ers at home in Foxboro with a total set at 44.5. We can definitely expect this game to be low scoring, given the solid defenses on both sides, but stagnant offenses. If the 49ers can get a handful of big plays from their offense they could be able to win this game outright. However, the Patriots are best at limiting that big play ability and are hungry for a win after a 2-3 start to the season. At -2 this game is almost a pick em. 

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Brian Hunt
Prediction Written by
Brian Hunt

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