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Jacksonville Jaguars
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Jacksonville Jaguars vsLos Angeles Chargers Prediction

The Los Angeles Chargers are a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Justin Herbert is averaging 314 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Joshua Kelley is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 56% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Gardner Minshew averages 1.89 TD passes vs 0.37 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.34 TDs to 0.76 interceptions. James Robinson averages 93 rushing yards and 0.88 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 56 yards and 0.38 TDs in losses. Los Angeles Chargers has a 76% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time.

Los Angeles Chargers Preview

The Chargers are 1-4 this season and, if they had any hopes of making a playoff push this year, those chances are quickly fading away. The Chargers are allowing 380.6 yards per game to opposing offenses, the 11th-worst mark in the league, but they’re also scoring just 22.0 points per game -- the ninth-worst mark in the NFL. That is not a recipe for success, and the numbers have backed that up. The Chargers have been involved in tight games most of the time, however, as evidenced by the fact that they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in 2020. The Chargers might be struggling numbers-wise, but they have received strong play from their rookie quarterback, Justin Herbert. Even though there have been growing pains for the first-year signal-caller at times, he has looked poised under center most of the time and has completed 68.79 percent of his passes for 1,196 yards, nine touchdowns, and only three interceptions. Herbert is also averaging 8.5 yards per passing attempt, which is an encouraging stat -- especially considering the Jaguars have been struggling on defense during most of the 2020 season. It remains to be seen whether the Chargers manage to take advantage of Jacksonville’s defensive problems, but if there’s any team they’d like to face to bounce back following a 1-4 start, that’s probably Jacksonville.

Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

The Jaguars continue to stumble after beginning the 2020 NFL season with a surprising win over the Indianapolis Colts, and now the Jaguars have recorded five losses in a row to sit at the bottom of the AFC South, one of the worst divisions in the NFL this year. Jacksonville has been struggling on both sides of the ball in 2020 and, aside from going 2-4 ATS this year, the numbers back up their massive woes on both ends of the field. Jacksonville ranks as the fourth-worst team in the league when it comes to yards allowed to opposing teams (414.5 per game) and they’ve also scored the fifth-lowest mark in the league in terms of points per game with only 20.8 -- they surpass only four teams, with two of them being the anemic offenses of both the New York Jets and the New York Giants. Jacksonville also owns a -56 point differential, a figure that ranks in second place of the AFC -- only sitting above the Jets in that department. The team’s starting quarterback, Gardner Minshew, has looked good under center but he’s not good enough to take over games, and the defense isn’t helping him by any means. The mix of those things is the fair reflection of a team that has just one victory in six games -- the defense can’t get enough stops and the offense is not good enough to remain alive through an entire game.

Full Game Prediction

The Jaguars have been struggling massively on both sides of the ball and that’s not expected to change here. The Chargers haven’t exactly been the perfect model of consistency, but they have enough encouraging signs to believe they can come away with the in win this one.

Brian Hunt
Prediction Written by
Brian Hunt

Schedule Summary
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