Miami Dolphins vsJacksonville Jaguars Prediction
Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 53% of simulations, and the Jacksonville Jaguars 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. The Jacksonville Jaguars wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ryan Fitzpatrick is averaging 272 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Gardner Minshew is averaging 275 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 54%.