Tennessee Titans vs

Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

First place in the AFC South will be on the line in Week 12 when the Indianapolis Colts host the Tennessee Titans. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 29, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The early betting line has the Colts favored by 3.5 points at home with an over/under of 50.5 points. Keep reading to get a preview of both teams and learn about our model’s Colts vs Titans prediction.

Indianapolis Colts Preview

The Colts pulled off one of the most impressive wins of the season last week. Indy trailed Green Bay by two touchdowns at halftime but managed to hold the Packers to just three points after halftime, ultimately winning in overtime 34-31. With the win, Indy has now won four of five, remaining tied with the Titans atop the AFC South two weeks after beating Tennessee head-to-head. Both teams are in good shape to earn a playoff spot, although the Colts have a challenging schedule in December, so they need to stay hot.

Outside of a 10-point performance against the Ravens a few weeks ago, the Indianapolis offense has been coming on strong lately. Whether it’s Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Wilkins, or Nyheim Hines, the Colts are finding some semblance of a rushing attack lately. That has helped Philip Rivers, who has 10 touchdown passes and just three interceptions over his last five games. Also, outside of a rash of holding penalties against Green Bay, the Colts have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, which has aided Rivers in working with an underwhelming set of receivers.

Of course, the Indy defense has been the biggest catalyst in the Colts climbing to the top of the AFC South. Surely, the defense can be forgiven for a poor first half against the Packers last week with the way they performed in the second half. After all, half of their 10 opponents have been held to 21 points or less. The Colts have been able to consistently stuff the run this season, which has helped to give Indy a top-5 defense.

Tennessee Titans Preview

The Titans are breathing a huge sigh of relief after knocking off the Ravens in overtime last week. A loss for Tennessee would have been the team’s fourth defeat in five games. But the win should help get them back on track while also keeping them even with the Colts for first place in the AFC South. One could argue that the Titans have a slightly easier schedule down the stretch than Indianapolis. But after losing to the Colts a couple of Thursdays ago, they don’t want to lose to Indy twice in the same season.

It’s no secret that Derrick Henry has been a vital part of the Tennessee offense this year. In fact, the deeper we get into the season, the more the Titans are likely to lean on Henry, which worked to perfection last year. Henry has gone over 100 yards in three of his last four games, creating a lot of problems for opposing defenses. The Titans were also glad to see Ryan Tannehill bounce back against Baltimore after a couple of subpar games. With A.J. Brown and Corey Davis at his disposal, Tannehill should be able to take advantage of teams focusing on Henry, putting him in a great position to have some big games coming down the stretch.

Unfortunately for the Titans, the defense remains a reasonable concern heading into late November. They are middle of the pack with regard to points allowed and have one of the worst pass rushes in the NFL, particularly for a team in the playoff race. Their defensive issues were on full display when they gave up 34 points to the Colts at home a couple of weeks ago. They will need to do a better job of stopping the run and putting pressure on a largely immobile quarterback if they have any hope of getting a different result.

Full Game Prediction

The onus in this game is on Tennessee to make adjustments from the first meeting between these teams. The defense struggled to contain the run while Tannehill also had a poor performance. Obviously, the 7-3 Titans are capable of playing much better. But Henry can only carry the Titans so far; at some point, Tannehill and the defense need to play their part as well.

Don’t forget to sign up for a BetQL subscription so you can check out key stats and betting trends for this matchup and every other NFL game. The best part is you’ll have access to our model’s official Titans vs Colts prediction against the spread.